Exchange Rate Volatility and International Trade in Turkey
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47604/ijfa.2450Keywords:
Exchange Rate Volatility, International TradeAbstract
Purpose: The aim of the study was to investigate the exchange rate volatility and international trade in Malaysia.
Methodology: This study adopted a desk methodology. A desk study research design is commonly known as secondary data collection. This is basically collecting data from existing resources preferably because of its low cost advantage as compared to a field research. Our current study looked into already published studies and reports as the data was easily accessed through online journals and libraries.
Findings: Exchange rate volatility significantly impacts international trade by affecting exporters, importers, and trade volumes. It introduces uncertainty, raises hedging costs, and alters price competitiveness, leading to shifts in trade flows. While policymakers implement measures to manage volatility, their effectiveness is debated. Regional trade agreements can mitigate its impact, but challenges persist. Effective management of exchange rate volatility is essential for fostering stable international trade relationships.
Unique Contribution to Theory, Practice and Policy: The theory of purchasing power parity (PPP), the theory of optimum currency areas (OCA) & the balassa- samuelson effect may be used to anchor future studies on the exchange rate volatility and international trade in Malaysia. Implement risk management strategies to mitigate the adverse effects of exchange rate volatility on international trade, including the use of financial derivatives, hedging instruments, and diversification strategies. Design and implement policies that strike a balance between exchange rate flexibility and stability, recognizing the trade-offs between exchange rate volatility and export competitiveness.
Downloads
References
Aftab, M., & Khan, M. I. (2020). "Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Balance in Pakistan: An Empirical Investigation." The Pakistan Development Review, 59(4), 829-845.
Alper, A., & Hatemi-J, A. (2019). "The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Turkish International Trade: Panel Data Approach." Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 55(14), 3313-3325.
Aminu, S., et al. (2020). "Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Performance in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Gravity Model Analysis." Economic Analysis and Policy, 67, 19-32.
Andersen, T. G., Bollerslev, T., Diebold, F. X., & Vega, C. (2003). Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange. American Economic Review, 93(1), 38-62.
Arize, A. C., et al. (2017). "Exchange Rate Volatility and Nigeria's Trade Balance: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model." Economic Modelling, 64, 82-89.
Bacchetta, P., & van Wincoop, E. (2018). Exchange rate volatility and international trade. Review of Economics and Statistics, 100(3), 436-451.
Bahmani-Oskooee, M., & Hajilee, M. (2021). "Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on U.S. Bilateral Trade Balances with G-7 Countries: Evidence from Panel Threshold Analysis." Journal of Economic Studies, 48(2), 290-306.
Baillie, R. T., & Kilic, R. (2006). Do Asymmetric and Nonlinear Adjustments Explain the Forward Premium Anomaly? Journal of International Money and Finance, 25(3), 459-479.
Bollerslev, T., Patton, A. J., & Quaedvlieg, R. (2016). Exploiting the Errors: A New Approach to Pricing Exchange Rate Volatility. Journal of Econometrics, 193(2), 315-334.
Bussiere, M., & Schnatz, B. (2013). A Re-Examination of Real Exchange Rate Stationarity in High Inflation Countries. Journal of International Money and Finance, 35, 141-162.
Campa, J. M., & Goldberg, L. S. (2015). Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Import Prices. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 97(1), 179-195.
Central Bank of Chile. (2021). Foreign Trade Statistics. Retrieved from https://www.bcentral.cl/
Chen, N. F., & Choi, S. (2019). Exchange Rate Volatility and Equity Returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 131(1), 226-248.
Chen, N., & Novy, D. (2017). Currency unions, currency manipulation, and the fear of floating: Evidence from survey data. Journal of the European Economic Association, 15(2), 218-250.
Chen, Y., & Ju, J. (2016). "Exchange Rate Volatility and China's Bilateral Trade Flows: Evidence from East Asia." China Economic Review, 37, 168-176.
Chor, D., & Manova, K. (2019). Exchange rate volatility and trade: The extensive margin. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 134(2), 857-890.
Clark, E., Zorn, P., & Beresford, A. (2017). Exchange rate volatility and export pricing strategy: The role of strategic hedging. Journal of International Money and Finance, 75, 177-195.
Della Corte, P., Sarno, L., & Tsiakas, I. (2016). Economic Returns to Currency Trading: A Meta-Analysis. Review of Financial Studies, 29(3), 593-647.
Department of Statistics Malaysia. (2021). Monthly External Trade Statistics. Retrieved from https://www.dosm.gov.my/
Dornbusch, R., Park, Y. C., & Claessens, S. (2017). Contagion: Understanding How It Spreads. The World Bank Research Observer, 13(2), 177-197.
Goldberg, L. S., & Kolstad, I. (2018). Exchange rates and individual currency risk. Journal of International Economics, 111, 225-238.
Gopinath, G., Itskhoki, O., & Rigobon, R. (2016). Currency choice and exchange rate pass-through. American Economic Review, 106(9), 2900-2926.
Grier, R. M., & Smallwood, A. D. (2018). "Exchange Rate Volatility and Latin American Exports." The World Economy, 41(11), 3046-3067.
Ismail, M. N., et al. (2022). "Exchange Rate Volatility and Malaysia's Trade Balance: Evidence from a Vector Error Correction Model." Journal of Economic Studies
Ito, H., & Sasaki, Y. N. (2018). Exchange rate volatility and foreign direct investment: Evidence from Japanese multinational corporations. Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 48, 61-72.
Japan External Trade Organization. (2021). Japan's Trade Statistics 2020. Retrieved from https://www.jetro.go.jp/
Korea Customs Service. (2021). Trade Statistics. Retrieved from https://unipass.customs.go.kr/
Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Government of India. (2021). Quick Estimates of Index of Industrial Production and Use-Based Index for the Month of March, 2021. Retrieved from https://commerce.gov.in/
Mohapatra, G. P., & Parhi, M. (2019). "Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on India's Trade Balance: Evidence from ARDL Bounds Test Approach." Economic Analysis and Policy, 62, 315-324.
National Bureau of Statistics of China. (2021). Statistical Communiqu of the People's Republic of China on the 2020 National Economic and Social Development. Retrieved from http://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202102/t20210228_1814675.html
National Bureau of Statistics, Nigeria. (2021). Merchandise Trade Statistics (Q1 2020 - Q4 2020). Retrieved from https://nigerianstat.gov.ng/
Nguyen, T. T. H., et al. (2021). "Exchange Rate Volatility and Export Performance: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam." Economic Change and Restructuring, 54(3), 437-461.
South African Revenue Service. (2021). SARS Trade Statistics. Retrieved from https://www.sars.gov.za/
United States Census Bureau. (2021). U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, December 2020. Retrieved from https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/
World Trade Organization. (2022). World Trade Statistical Review 2021. Retrieved from https://www.wto.org
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Nurul Hidayah
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.